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Olmert: Kadima Has Already Won

Ehud Olmert has always been arrogant, but I never thought he was stupid.

Today, Olmert boasted before 700 Russian immigrants that "the question of who will win has already been decided."

Rule 1 in election campaigns is not to express overconfidence, lest one's supporters feel unmotivated to vote.

In Israel, where there are so many parties from which to choose, Olmert's speech was especially foolish. Many who might have voted for Kadima will likely vote for a smaller niche party if they are confident that Kadima will win by a wide margin. This is especially true for Russian immigrants, many of whom remain undecided between Kadima and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party. Likely, Olmert has ensured that Lieberman will get a large portion of those votes, a good thing for those who oppose Olmert's plans for a massive unilateral withdrawal from Samaria communities.
posted on 3/08/2006